Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Handzus 51.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Handzus 51.2%
Defensive zone
Handzus 82.9%
Neutral zone
Handzus 69.4%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
O'Reilly
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Reilly
Handzus
Last 5: O'Reilly 4-1 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Handzus
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
1
O'Reilly
Handzus
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Handzus
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
51.2% (873)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
60.1% (178)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.5% (241)
+3.5%
On power play, Handzus has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Handzus is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Handzus
Home
48.1% (243)
51.8% (681)
Away
44.9% (254)
51.5% (631)
By Period
O'Reilly
Handzus
P1
43.2%
49.4%
P2
45.6%
57.5%
P3
50.9%
47.8%
OT
42.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |