Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fraser wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.8% vs Handzus 54.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 69.0%
Defensive zone
Fraser 54.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 65.6%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Fraser
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Fraser
Handzus
Last 10: Fraser 3-7 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
1
Fraser
Handzus
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
2
Fraser
Handzus
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
4
Fraser
Handzus
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (160)
57.4% (357)
-11.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
23.8% (21)
+51.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
54.2% (48)
-4.2%
On power play, Fraser has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Fraser is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Fraser shoots left. Handzus is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Fraser
Handzus
Home
49.5% (95)
57.7% (222)
Away
42.5% (73)
52.9% (204)
By Period
Fraser
Handzus
P1
42.6%
63.0%
P2
48.1%
57.0%
P3
49.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |