Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Handzus 49.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.0%
Defensive zone
Handzus 56.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Tavares
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tavares
Handzus
Last 7: Tavares 1-6 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
Tavares
Handzus
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
3
Tavares
Handzus
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
1
Tavares
Handzus
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
50.4% (526)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
64.3% (14)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
44.4% (124)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Handzus is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Tavares
Handzus
Home
50.0% (542)
50.4% (361)
Away
48.2% (587)
48.5% (303)
By Period
Tavares
Handzus
P1
52.2%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
47.2%
P3
45.1%
48.5%
OT
48.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |