Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.7%). Look for Handzus on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.9% vs Handzus 50.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.8%
Defensive zone
Handzus 62.6%
Neutral zone
Handzus 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Duchene
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Duchene
Handzus
Last 7: Duchene 1-6 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
2
Duchene
Handzus
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
Duchene
Handzus
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
Duchene
Handzus
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (357)
49.6% (682)
+1.4%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
61.6% (73)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.7% (58)
-1.7%
On power play, Handzus has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Duchene shoots left. Handzus is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Duchene
Handzus
Home
51.0% (208)
51.7% (472)
Away
51.4% (183)
49.3% (343)
By Period
Duchene
Handzus
P1
53.3%
51.9%
P2
53.4%
51.5%
P3
44.6%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |