Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 51.6% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 51.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 73.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 65.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Handzus
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Handzus
Gaustad
Last 5: Handzus 3-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
0
Handzus
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Handzus
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (873)
58.6% (790)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.1% (178)
66.7% (93)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (241)
61.0% (269)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Handzus is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Handzus shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Handzus
Gaustad
Home
51.8% (681)
60.6% (554)
Away
51.5% (631)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Handzus
Gaustad
P1
49.4%
61.3%
P2
57.5%
55.5%
P3
47.8%
62.3%
OT
47.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |