Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Handzus wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 54.4% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 86.1%
Defensive zone
Handzus 55.8%
Neutral zone
Handzus 64.5%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Handzus
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Handzus
Gaustad
Last 10: Handzus 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Handzus
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
8
Handzus
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (357)
59.8% (353)
-2.4%
Power Play
23.8% (21)
66.7% (15)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (48)
58.0% (81)
-3.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Handzus is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Handzus shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Handzus
Gaustad
Home
57.7% (222)
62.1% (195)
Away
52.9% (204)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Handzus
Gaustad
P1
63.0%
59.4%
P2
57.0%
58.1%
P3
50.3%
61.3%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
55.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |