Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 28.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 39.0% vs Zibanejad 49.2% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 78.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 65.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Coleman
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coleman
Zibanejad
Last 5: Coleman 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Coleman
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
2
0
Coleman
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (85)
48.9% (809)
-12.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.4% (204)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
24.6% (57)
45.5% (191)
-20.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coleman is 28.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Coleman shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Coleman
Zibanejad
Home
37.3% (75)
49.8% (588)
Away
25.7% (74)
48.5% (616)
By Period
Coleman
Zibanejad
P1
32.0%
47.4%
P2
30.0%
50.7%
P3
33.3%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
31.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |