Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.8% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 67.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 62.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.1%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Boyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Zibanejad
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Boyle
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (157)
49.5% (1,211)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.0% (142)
52.8% (214)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
47.4% (247)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Boyle is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Boyle shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Boyle
Zibanejad
Home
56.1% (148)
52.8% (825)
Away
47.0% (185)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Boyle
Zibanejad
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
56.6%
46.5%
P3
47.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |