Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 52.2% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 80.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 75.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Rowney
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Rowney
Zibanejad
Last 7: Rowney 3-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Rowney
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
0
Rowney
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (219)
52.7% (938)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (91)
39.5% (124)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Rowney is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Rowney shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Rowney
Zibanejad
Home
55.3% (152)
54.9% (594)
Away
50.6% (158)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Rowney
Zibanejad
P1
54.1%
50.1%
P2
49.6%
49.0%
P3
54.3%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |