Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.5%). Helm wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.3% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 68.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Helm
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Helm
Zibanejad
Last 5: Helm 4-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (49)
50.8% (1,073)
+4.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
52.5% (118)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
45.2% (115)
+9.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Helm is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Helm shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
Helm
Zibanejad
Home
45.5% (44)
52.9% (682)
Away
57.6% (33)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Helm
Zibanejad
P1
27.3%
47.5%
P2
69.0%
52.8%
P3
48.0%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Darren Helm |