Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.3% vs Zibanejad 47.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.5%
Defensive zone
McClement 87.0%
Neutral zone
McClement 71.4%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
McClement
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McClement
Zibanejad
Last 6: McClement 5-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McClement
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
5
0
McClement
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (311)
46.7% (285)
+4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
45.6% (57)
+54.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
0.0% (1)
+51.3%
On power play, McClement has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McClement is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
McClement shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
McClement
Zibanejad
Home
50.5% (216)
45.4% (163)
Away
53.1% (177)
47.2% (180)
By Period
McClement
Zibanejad
P1
45.5%
43.7%
P2
43.8%
48.6%
P3
61.4%
46.9%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |