Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 82.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 55.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
McClement
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McClement
Zibanejad
Last 6: McClement 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
McClement
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
50.8% (1,073)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
52.5% (118)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
45.2% (115)
+0.6%
On even strength, McClement has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McClement is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (233).
McClement shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
McClement
Zibanejad
Home
56.0% (341)
52.9% (682)
Away
54.6% (337)
47.8% (624)
By Period
McClement
Zibanejad
P1
52.7%
47.5%
P2
55.7%
52.8%
P3
58.3%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |