Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 56.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 66.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Ward
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Ward
Zibanejad
Last 8: Ward 6-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
50.8% (1,073)
-1.5%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
52.5% (118)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
45.2% (115)
-10.5%
On power play, Ward has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ward is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Ward shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Home / Away
Ward
Zibanejad
Home
48.4% (219)
52.9% (682)
Away
47.8% (274)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Ward
Zibanejad
P1
43.0%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
41.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Joel Ward |