Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.4% vs Zibanejad 49.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 69.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 57.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Larsson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larsson
Zibanejad
Last 6: Larsson 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Larsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (506)
48.9% (809)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
53.4% (204)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
45.5% (191)
-0.6%
On power play, Larsson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larsson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Larsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Larsson
Zibanejad
Home
51.9% (335)
49.8% (588)
Away
44.4% (333)
48.5% (616)
By Period
Larsson
Zibanejad
P1
48.7%
47.4%
P2
48.3%
50.7%
P3
48.1%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |