Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Zibanejad 49.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 51.5%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 56.3%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 53.7%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Last 9: Wallmark 7-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
1
Wallmark
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
0
Wallmark
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
48.9% (809)
+1.3%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
53.4% (204)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
45.5% (191)
-2.3%
On power play, Wallmark has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Wallmark is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Wallmark shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Home
48.6% (368)
49.8% (588)
Away
51.9% (385)
48.5% (616)
By Period
Wallmark
Zibanejad
P1
49.0%
47.4%
P2
55.0%
50.7%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |