Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.0%). Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chaput wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 52.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.8%
Neutral zone
Chaput 54.7%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Chaput
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Zibanejad
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Chaput
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Chaput
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (374)
52.8% (767)
-0.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
62.6% (107)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
28.9% (76)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Chaput is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Chaput shoots left. Zibanejad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Chaput
Zibanejad
Home
58.4% (178)
51.0% (500)
Away
47.8% (207)
53.1% (450)
By Period
Chaput
Zibanejad
P1
52.3%
54.2%
P2
49.6%
53.6%
P3
56.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |