Scouting Report
Michael Raffl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 51.3% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.1%
Neutral zone
Raffl 57.8%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Raffl
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Raffl
Zibanejad
Last 5: Raffl 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
0
Raffl
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Raffl
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
0
Raffl
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (52)
47.8% (667)
+9.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.4% (181)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
36.0% (186)
-36.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Raffl is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Raffl shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Raffl
Zibanejad
Home
53.1% (32)
48.4% (529)
Away
53.6% (28)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Raffl
Zibanejad
P1
62.1%
46.2%
P2
40.9%
47.7%
P3
55.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
53.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |