Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Walker 51.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.3%
Neutral zone
Walker 51.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Zibanejad
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zibanejad
Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Walker
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
0
2
Zibanejad
Walker
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
54.0% (87)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
50.0% (8)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Walker has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Walker is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Walker
Home
49.0% (429)
51.9% (54)
Away
54.1% (521)
56.1% (41)
By Period
Zibanejad
Walker
P1
53.0%
63.6%
P2
51.1%
46.7%
P3
51.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |