Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 60.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 83.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Zibanejad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Zibanejad
Kesler
Last 9: Zibanejad 6-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
57.6% (1,225)
-4.8%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
63.5% (263)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
51.5% (305)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kesler
Home
51.0% (500)
59.1% (881)
Away
53.1% (450)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kesler
P1
54.2%
56.6%
P2
53.6%
58.2%
P3
49.0%
57.5%
OT
37.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |