Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zibanejad wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.8% vs Kesler 52.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 51.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Zibanejad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Zibanejad
Kesler
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Zibanejad
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Zibanejad
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Zibanejad
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (938)
55.2% (567)
-2.5%
Power Play
49.3% (225)
54.9% (51)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (124)
45.0% (131)
-5.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kesler
Home
54.9% (594)
55.7% (388)
Away
47.3% (693)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kesler
P1
50.1%
56.3%
P2
49.0%
52.5%
P3
53.0%
52.6%
OT
52.2%
35.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |