Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.1%). Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.4% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 78.9%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 53.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Zibanejad
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zibanejad
Horcoff
Last 5: Zibanejad 1-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Zibanejad
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Zibanejad
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,073)
51.2% (537)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
66.7% (15)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (115)
47.3% (74)
-2.1%
On power play, Horcoff has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Zibanejad shoots right. Horcoff is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Horcoff
Home
52.9% (682)
52.5% (343)
Away
47.8% (624)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Zibanejad
Horcoff
P1
47.5%
48.2%
P2
52.8%
52.2%
P3
51.4%
52.7%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |