Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.4% vs Gionta 43.1% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 63.3%
Defensive zone
Gionta 74.3%
Neutral zone
Gionta 57.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Zibanejad
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zibanejad
Gionta
Last 7: Zibanejad 3-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
4
Zibanejad
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,073)
41.8% (612)
+9.0%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
61.5% (13)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (115)
40.9% (66)
+4.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gionta
Home
52.9% (682)
41.3% (344)
Away
47.8% (624)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gionta
P1
47.5%
39.8%
P2
52.8%
46.8%
P3
51.4%
39.5%
OT
45.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |