Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 41-36 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 50.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Zibanejad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
41
(77 meetings)
36
41
Zibanejad
Bozak
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
14
8
Zibanejad
Bozak
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
13
20
Zibanejad
Bozak
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
9
13
Zibanejad
Bozak
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bozak
Home
51.6% (7,566)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bozak
P1
50.4%
53.2%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
49.8%
54.5%
OT
48.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |