Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Bozak 56.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 80.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 60.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 77.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Zibanejad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Zibanejad
Bozak
Last 8: Zibanejad 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
2
Zibanejad
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
56.5% (1,119)
-3.7%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
58.4% (226)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
50.0% (20)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bozak
Home
51.0% (500)
60.1% (682)
Away
53.1% (450)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bozak
P1
54.2%
57.7%
P2
53.6%
53.7%
P3
49.0%
59.0%
OT
37.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |