Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Rask 50.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 56.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Zibanejad
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Zibanejad
Rask
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
3
7
Zibanejad
Rask
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
3
Zibanejad
Rask
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
8
Zibanejad
Rask
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (11,540)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,848)
54.3% (363)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (1,766)
35.2% (54)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rask
Home
51.6% (7,444)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
48.3% (7,711)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rask
P1
50.4%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
48.9%
P3
49.8%
50.7%
OT
48.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 7, 2015 | OT | 00:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |