Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.7% vs Rask 47.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 64.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 56.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Zibanejad
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zibanejad
Rask
Last 5: Zibanejad 1-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Zibanejad
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Zibanejad
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,211)
46.6% (397)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.8% (214)
58.1% (31)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (247)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
On power play, Rask has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rask is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rask
Home
52.8% (825)
50.0% (202)
Away
46.6% (848)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rask
P1
50.8%
51.1%
P2
46.5%
43.2%
P3
52.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Victor Rask |