Alexander True vs Mikael Backlund
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 47.3%). Look for True on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 48.5% vs Backlund 47.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
True
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
True
Backlund
Last 5: True 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
True
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: True
2
1
True
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (68)
47.3% (630)
-0.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
48.5% (66)
-48.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. True is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (55).
True shoots left. Backlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
True
Backlund
Home
66.7% (18)
50.4% (347)
Away
39.2% (51)
44.8% (431)
By Period
True
Backlund
P1
52.4%
46.7%
P2
44.0%
44.9%
P3
43.5%
49.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
46.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Alexander True |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |