Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 46.8% vs Backlund 48.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 59.8%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 56.9%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 58.4%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Ebbett
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ebbett
Backlund
Last 8: Ebbett 2-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Ebbett
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ebbett
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Ebbett
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (211)
48.9% (568)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
32.7% (49)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Ebbett is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Ebbett shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Backlund
Home
49.2% (128)
50.8% (327)
Away
40.6% (101)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Ebbett
Backlund
P1
49.3%
53.0%
P2
44.0%
47.8%
P3
42.5%
43.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |