Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Backlund 48.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 59.5%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 61.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.5%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Ebbett
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ebbett
Backlund
Last 6: Ebbett 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Ebbett
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
2
1
Ebbett
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ebbett
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
47.3% (357)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
55.0% (40)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
30.0% (10)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Ebbett has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. Backlund is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Backlund
Home
37.2% (121)
45.0% (211)
Away
41.8% (146)
50.5% (196)
By Period
Ebbett
Backlund
P1
45.5%
47.6%
P2
40.2%
53.0%
P3
35.1%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |