Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Backlund 50.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 82.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Shaw
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Backlund
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Shaw
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Shaw
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
51.1% (1,070)
+0.5%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
50.5% (91)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
45.2% (248)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backlund
Home
55.2% (163)
49.3% (702)
Away
53.4% (163)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Shaw
Backlund
P1
56.7%
46.3%
P2
50.9%
53.8%
P3
55.6%
49.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |