Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Backlund 48.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 87.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Gordon
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Gordon
Backlund
Last 6: Gordon 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Gordon
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Gordon
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
50.1% (711)
+8.1%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
43.2% (81)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
38.6% (83)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Gordon shoots right. Backlund is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Gordon
Backlund
Home
58.4% (586)
51.0% (396)
Away
53.6% (632)
46.1% (479)
By Period
Gordon
Backlund
P1
55.8%
43.9%
P2
58.1%
51.5%
P3
53.3%
51.0%
OT
68.8%
12.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |