Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.3%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Backlund 48.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 79.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Richards
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Backlund
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Richards
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
50.1% (711)
-1.1%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
43.2% (81)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.6% (83)
+1.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Richards
Backlund
Home
49.8% (424)
51.0% (396)
Away
46.9% (401)
46.1% (479)
By Period
Richards
Backlund
P1
51.3%
43.9%
P2
44.8%
51.5%
P3
49.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2014 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |