Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Malgin wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 45.9% vs Backlund 50.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 81.4%
Defensive zone
Malgin 54.0%
Neutral zone
Malgin 65.9%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Malgin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malgin
Backlund
Last 5: Malgin 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Malgin
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Malgin
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malgin
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (108)
51.1% (1,070)
-7.6%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
50.5% (91)
-14.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Malgin is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Malgin shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Malgin
Backlund
Home
38.2% (55)
49.3% (702)
Away
46.3% (67)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Malgin
Backlund
P1
36.4%
46.3%
P2
45.7%
53.8%
P3
44.2%
49.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |