Gabriel Vilardi vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vilardi wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 90.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.2%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Vilardi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vilardi
Backlund
Last 6: Vilardi 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
1
Vilardi
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Vilardi
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
50.1% (891)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
53.1% (64)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.8% (278)
-47.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Vilardi is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Vilardi shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Backlund
Home
40.8% (49)
48.1% (580)
Away
46.7% (45)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Vilardi
Backlund
P1
50.0%
45.1%
P2
37.1%
54.7%
P3
43.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |