Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Backlund 47.4% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 71.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 86.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 72.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Beagle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Backlund
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
48.7% (912)
+9.4%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
46.3% (82)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
38.3% (149)
+17.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Backlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Beagle
Backlund
Home
57.0% (307)
48.2% (596)
Away
59.1% (330)
46.1% (547)
By Period
Beagle
Backlund
P1
59.1%
49.3%
P2
59.8%
44.7%
P3
56.4%
47.0%
OT
20.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |