Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Backlund 51.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 82.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 59.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Beagle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Beagle
Backlund
Last 7: Beagle 1-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Beagle
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Beagle
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
53.2% (602)
+5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.1% (66)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
39.0% (77)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Beagle shoots right. Backlund is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Beagle
Backlund
Home
57.9% (171)
51.5% (400)
Away
54.0% (137)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Beagle
Backlund
P1
53.3%
50.0%
P2
61.5%
56.4%
P3
54.1%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |