Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 69.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
McClement
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McClement
Backlund
Last 6: McClement 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McClement
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
McClement
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
50.1% (711)
+7.0%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
43.2% (81)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
38.6% (83)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
McClement
Backlund
Home
55.8% (475)
51.0% (396)
Away
55.1% (515)
46.1% (479)
By Period
McClement
Backlund
P1
55.6%
43.9%
P2
57.3%
51.5%
P3
53.2%
51.0%
OT
54.5%
12.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |