Jerred Smithson vs Mikael Backlund
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.3% vs Backlund 46.1% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 73.9%
Defensive zone
Smithson 92.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 90.1%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Smithson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Smithson
Backlund
Last 8: Smithson 7-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
0
Smithson
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (518)
45.9% (410)
+12.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
44.8% (29)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (108)
42.9% (56)
+7.1%
On even strength, Smithson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Smithson is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Smithson shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Smithson
Backlund
Home
57.8% (306)
49.3% (217)
Away
54.6% (339)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Smithson
Backlund
P1
51.8%
44.0%
P2
54.8%
49.4%
P3
62.0%
42.8%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |