Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.8% vs Backlund 48.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 57.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 55.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 53.4%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Mitchell
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Mitchell
Backlund
Last 10: Mitchell 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Mitchell
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Mitchell
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (231)
47.3% (357)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
55.0% (40)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
65.2% (46)
30.0% (10)
+35.2%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mitchell is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Mitchell shoots left. Backlund is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Backlund
Home
59.0% (134)
45.0% (211)
Away
43.8% (210)
50.5% (196)
By Period
Mitchell
Backlund
P1
48.0%
47.6%
P2
49.2%
53.0%
P3
50.9%
41.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |