Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 49.6% vs Backlund 48.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Wellwood
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wellwood
Backlund
Last 5: Wellwood 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wellwood
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Wellwood
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (124)
48.9% (568)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
52.3% (44)
+10.2%
On power play, Wellwood has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Wellwood is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Wellwood shoots right. Backlund is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Backlund
Home
50.8% (61)
50.8% (327)
Away
47.9% (71)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Wellwood
Backlund
P1
41.2%
53.0%
P2
53.7%
47.8%
P3
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |