Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.3% vs Backlund 47.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 79.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 68.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Kruger
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kruger
Backlund
Last 6: Kruger 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Kruger
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kruger
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (348)
48.7% (912)
+5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.3% (82)
+53.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (125)
38.3% (149)
-3.1%
On power play, Kruger has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kruger is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kruger shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Kruger
Backlund
Home
52.4% (212)
48.2% (596)
Away
46.6% (262)
46.1% (547)
By Period
Kruger
Backlund
P1
40.1%
49.3%
P2
53.6%
44.7%
P3
54.6%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |