Mark Jankowski vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Backlund 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 64.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 56.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Jankowski
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jankowski
Backlund
Last 5: Jankowski 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Jankowski
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
50.4% (1,032)
+0.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
52.3% (107)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
40.6% (313)
+3.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Backlund
Home
46.8% (188)
48.7% (749)
Away
53.5% (245)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Jankowski
Backlund
P1
51.6%
50.4%
P2
49.3%
50.1%
P3
50.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |