Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Letestu wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 53.0% vs Backlund 50.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 66.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Letestu
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Letestu
Backlund
Last 10: Letestu 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Letestu
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Letestu
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Letestu
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (625)
51.1% (1,070)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.6% (89)
50.5% (91)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (173)
45.2% (248)
+5.1%
On power play, Letestu has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Letestu is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Letestu shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Letestu
Backlund
Home
55.8% (421)
49.3% (702)
Away
51.1% (466)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Letestu
Backlund
P1
52.0%
46.3%
P2
55.2%
53.8%
P3
53.4%
49.9%
OT
20.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |