Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.3% vs Modano 48.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 53.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Backlund
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backlund
Modano
Last 8: Backlund 5-3 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Modano
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Modano
0
1
Backlund
Modano
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Modano
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (568)
47.7% (266)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
100.0% (5)
-47.7%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (49)
0.0% (2)
+32.7%
On power play, Modano has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Backlund shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Backlund
Modano
Home
50.8% (327)
51.1% (139)
Away
45.4% (337)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Backlund
Modano
P1
53.0%
52.6%
P2
47.8%
42.3%
P3
43.8%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |