Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.3% vs Richards 49.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Backlund
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backlund
Richards
Last 5: Backlund 1-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Backlund
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (568)
47.9% (943)
+1.0%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
61.1% (157)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (49)
52.9% (102)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Backlund shoots left. Richards is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Backlund
Richards
Home
50.8% (327)
50.9% (617)
Away
45.4% (337)
48.7% (599)
By Period
Backlund
Richards
P1
53.0%
45.4%
P2
47.8%
52.5%
P3
43.8%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |