Mikael Backlund vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Grigorenko 44.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Backlund
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Grigorenko
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Grigorenko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
43.4% (311)
+5.3%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
50.0% (8)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
40.0% (30)
-1.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Backlund shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Backlund
Grigorenko
Home
48.2% (596)
44.8% (172)
Away
46.1% (547)
41.8% (177)
By Period
Backlund
Grigorenko
P1
49.3%
36.6%
P2
44.7%
51.8%
P3
47.0%
42.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |