Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs Koivu 54.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 78.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 70.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Backlund
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Backlund
Koivu
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Backlund
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
55.3% (1,219)
-8.0%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
63.5% (200)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
48.9% (280)
-5.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Backlund shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Backlund
Koivu
Home
49.1% (768)
55.6% (846)
Away
47.0% (711)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Backlund
Koivu
P1
46.8%
57.4%
P2
47.5%
55.5%
P3
49.3%
52.6%
OT
59.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2016 | OT | 04:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2016 | OT | 04:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |