Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.6% vs Koivu 54.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Backlund
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backlund
Koivu
Last 5: Backlund 3-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Backlund
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (884)
55.1% (672)
-5.9%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
56.5% (115)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (86)
49.5% (107)
+7.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Backlund shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Backlund
Koivu
Home
49.3% (531)
56.6% (410)
Away
49.8% (500)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Backlund
Koivu
P1
47.1%
51.7%
P2
53.7%
56.7%
P3
47.8%
55.3%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |