Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs Cousins 43.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 81.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.9%
Neutral zone
Cousins 61.3%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Backlund
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backlund
Cousins
Last 6: Backlund 2-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
2
Backlund
Cousins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
2
Backlund
Cousins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
39.6% (202)
+7.7%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
57.1% (14)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
100.0% (1)
-56.1%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Backlund shoots left. Cousins is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Backlund
Cousins
Home
49.1% (768)
35.9% (117)
Away
47.0% (711)
47.0% (100)
By Period
Backlund
Cousins
P1
46.8%
41.3%
P2
47.5%
47.3%
P3
49.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |