Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.1% vs Spaling 46.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backlund
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Spaling
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (357)
48.4% (419)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
30.0% (10)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
32.1% (53)
-2.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Backlund is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Backlund shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Backlund
Spaling
Home
45.0% (211)
52.2% (251)
Away
50.5% (196)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Backlund
Spaling
P1
47.6%
40.6%
P2
53.0%
43.9%
P3
41.2%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |